Some new charts. Back in December, I was asked to predict 15-second blocks by mid-June. Impossible to be certain, but I wouldn’t be surprised if this were the case.
The red line is June 15.
The dashed red lines are the last time we were at the same period in each of the previous forks. Much higher hash rates now has tamped down the effect, but that won’t last forever.
The blue dashed vertical lines are the previous forks.
The table tries to compare past forks with the current one and predicts the next bomblet to be around May 18.
